⚽ AI Football Predictions
(2025-12-30 - 2026-01-07)
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Everton vs Wolves
1X2: H
Confidence: 57%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 57% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Wolves
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Wolves
GG: Yes
Confidence: 33%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 33% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brentford vs Sunderland
1X2: H
Confidence: 55%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Brentford vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brentford vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 55% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brentford vs Sunderland
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Brentford vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brentford vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brentford vs Sunderland
GG: Yes
Confidence: 34%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Brentford vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brentford vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 34% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brentford vs Sunderland
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Brentford vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brentford vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Chelsea
1X2: A
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Chelsea
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Chelsea
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Brighton
1X2: H
Confidence: 59%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 59% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Brighton
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Brighton
GG: Yes
Confidence: 35%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 35% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Brighton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Leeds
1X2: H
Confidence: 54%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Leeds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Leeds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 54% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Leeds
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Leeds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Leeds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Leeds
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Leeds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Leeds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Leeds
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Leeds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Leeds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Man United
1X2: A
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Man United
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Man United
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Man United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
1X2: A
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bournemouth vs Tottenham
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bournemouth vs Tottenham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bournemouth vs Tottenham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bournemouth vs Tottenham
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bournemouth vs Tottenham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bournemouth vs Tottenham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bournemouth vs Tottenham
GG: Yes
Confidence: 45%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bournemouth vs Tottenham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bournemouth vs Tottenham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 45% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bournemouth vs Tottenham
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bournemouth vs Tottenham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bournemouth vs Tottenham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Fiorentina
1X2: H
Confidence: 52%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Fiorentina
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Fiorentina Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 52% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Fiorentina
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Fiorentina
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Fiorentina Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Fiorentina
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Fiorentina
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Fiorentina Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Fiorentina
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Fiorentina
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Fiorentina Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bologna vs Atalanta
1X2: H
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bologna vs Atalanta
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bologna vs Atalanta Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bologna vs Atalanta
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bologna vs Atalanta
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bologna vs Atalanta Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bologna vs Atalanta
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bologna vs Atalanta
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bologna vs Atalanta Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bologna vs Atalanta
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Bologna vs Atalanta
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bologna vs Atalanta Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Napoli vs Verona
1X2: H
Confidence: 61%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Napoli vs Verona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Napoli vs Verona Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 61% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Napoli vs Verona
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Napoli vs Verona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Napoli vs Verona Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Napoli vs Verona
GG: Yes
Confidence: 30%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Napoli vs Verona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Napoli vs Verona Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 30% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Napoli vs Verona
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Napoli vs Verona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Napoli vs Verona Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Torino vs Udinese
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Torino vs Udinese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Torino vs Udinese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Torino vs Udinese
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Torino vs Udinese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Torino vs Udinese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Torino vs Udinese
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Torino vs Udinese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Torino vs Udinese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Torino vs Udinese
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Torino vs Udinese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Torino vs Udinese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Parma vs Inter
1X2: A
Confidence: 60%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Parma vs Inter
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Parma vs Inter Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 60% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Parma vs Inter
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Parma vs Inter
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Parma vs Inter Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Parma vs Inter
GG: Yes
Confidence: 30%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Parma vs Inter
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Parma vs Inter Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 30% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Parma vs Inter
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-07
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AI Prompt: Parma vs Inter
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Parma vs Inter Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-07 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Forest
1X2: H
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Forest
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Forest Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Forest
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Forest
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Forest Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Forest
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Forest
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Forest Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Forest
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Forest
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Forest Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Pisa vs Como
1X2: A
Confidence: 50%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Pisa vs Como
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Pisa vs Como Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 50% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Pisa vs Como
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Pisa vs Como
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Pisa vs Como Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Pisa vs Como
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Pisa vs Como
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Pisa vs Como Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Pisa vs Como
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Pisa vs Como
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Pisa vs Como Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lecce vs Roma
1X2: A
Confidence: 53%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Lecce vs Roma
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lecce vs Roma Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 53% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lecce vs Roma
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Lecce vs Roma
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lecce vs Roma Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lecce vs Roma
GG: Yes
Confidence: 33%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Lecce vs Roma
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lecce vs Roma Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 33% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lecce vs Roma
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Lecce vs Roma
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lecce vs Roma Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sassuolo vs Juventus
1X2: A
Confidence: 51%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Sassuolo vs Juventus
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sassuolo vs Juventus Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 51% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sassuolo vs Juventus
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Sassuolo vs Juventus
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sassuolo vs Juventus Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sassuolo vs Juventus
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Sassuolo vs Juventus
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sassuolo vs Juventus Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sassuolo vs Juventus
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Sassuolo vs Juventus
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sassuolo vs Juventus Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs Aberdeen
1X2: H
Confidence: 60%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 60% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs Aberdeen
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs Aberdeen
GG: Yes
Confidence: 32%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 32% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs Aberdeen
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs St Mirren
1X2: A
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs St Mirren
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs St Mirren
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs St Mirren
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
SCO | 2026-01-06
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2026-01-06 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leicester vs West Brom
1X2: H
Confidence: 50%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Leicester vs West Brom
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leicester vs West Brom Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 50% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leicester vs West Brom
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Leicester vs West Brom
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leicester vs West Brom Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leicester vs West Brom
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Leicester vs West Brom
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leicester vs West Brom Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leicester vs West Brom
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Leicester vs West Brom
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leicester vs West Brom Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Montpellier vs Dunkerque
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Montpellier vs Dunkerque
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Montpellier vs Dunkerque Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Montpellier vs Dunkerque
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Montpellier vs Dunkerque
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Montpellier vs Dunkerque Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Montpellier vs Dunkerque
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
FRA | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Montpellier vs Dunkerque
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Montpellier vs Dunkerque Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Montpellier vs Dunkerque
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Montpellier vs Dunkerque
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Montpellier vs Dunkerque Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
1X2: H
Confidence: 52%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 52% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ISR | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ISR | 2026-01-05
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-05 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Middlesbrough vs Southampton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Middlesbrough vs Southampton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Middlesbrough vs Southampton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Middlesbrough vs Southampton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Brentford
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Brentford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Brentford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Brentford
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Brentford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Brentford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Brentford
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Brentford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Brentford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Everton vs Brentford
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Everton vs Brentford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Everton vs Brentford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Portsmouth vs Ipswich
1X2: A
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Portsmouth vs Ipswich
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Portsmouth vs Ipswich Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Portsmouth vs Ipswich
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Portsmouth vs Ipswich
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Portsmouth vs Ipswich Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Portsmouth vs Ipswich
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Portsmouth vs Ipswich
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Portsmouth vs Ipswich Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Portsmouth vs Ipswich
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Portsmouth vs Ipswich
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Portsmouth vs Ipswich Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Blackburn vs Charlton
1X2: H
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Blackburn vs Charlton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Blackburn vs Charlton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Blackburn vs Charlton
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Blackburn vs Charlton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Blackburn vs Charlton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Blackburn vs Charlton
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Blackburn vs Charlton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Blackburn vs Charlton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Blackburn vs Charlton
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Blackburn vs Charlton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Blackburn vs Charlton Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leeds vs Man United
1X2: A
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Leeds vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leeds vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leeds vs Man United
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Leeds vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leeds vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leeds vs Man United
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Leeds vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leeds vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Leeds vs Man United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Leeds vs Man United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Leeds vs Man United Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sheffield United vs Oxford
1X2: H
Confidence: 55%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sheffield United vs Oxford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sheffield United vs Oxford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 55% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sheffield United vs Oxford
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sheffield United vs Oxford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sheffield United vs Oxford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sheffield United vs Oxford
GG: Yes
Confidence: 35%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sheffield United vs Oxford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sheffield United vs Oxford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 35% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sheffield United vs Oxford
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sheffield United vs Oxford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sheffield United vs Oxford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Derby vs Wrexham
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Derby vs Wrexham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Derby vs Wrexham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Derby vs Wrexham
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Derby vs Wrexham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Derby vs Wrexham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Derby vs Wrexham
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Derby vs Wrexham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Derby vs Wrexham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Derby vs Wrexham
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Derby vs Wrexham
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Derby vs Wrexham Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Millwall vs Swansea
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Millwall vs Swansea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Millwall vs Swansea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Millwall vs Swansea
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Millwall vs Swansea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Millwall vs Swansea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Millwall vs Swansea
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Millwall vs Swansea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Millwall vs Swansea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Millwall vs Swansea
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Millwall vs Swansea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Millwall vs Swansea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Liverpool
1X2: A
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Liverpool
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Liverpool Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Liverpool
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Liverpool
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Liverpool Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Liverpool
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Liverpool
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Liverpool Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fulham vs Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fulham vs Liverpool
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fulham vs Liverpool Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Birmingham vs Coventry
1X2: A
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Birmingham vs Coventry
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Birmingham vs Coventry Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Birmingham vs Coventry
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Birmingham vs Coventry
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Birmingham vs Coventry Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Birmingham vs Coventry
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Birmingham vs Coventry
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Birmingham vs Coventry Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Birmingham vs Coventry
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Birmingham vs Coventry
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Birmingham vs Coventry Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Chelsea
1X2: H
Confidence: 53%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 53% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Chelsea
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Chelsea
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man City vs Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Man City vs Chelsea
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man City vs Chelsea Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
1X2: H
Confidence: 50%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 50% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Tottenham vs Sunderland
1X2: H
Confidence: 55%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Tottenham vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Tottenham vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 55% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Tottenham vs Sunderland
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Tottenham vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Tottenham vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Tottenham vs Sunderland
GG: Yes
Confidence: 34%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Tottenham vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Tottenham vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 34% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Tottenham vs Sunderland
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Tottenham vs Sunderland
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Tottenham vs Sunderland Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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QPR vs Sheffield Weds
1X2: H
Confidence: 53%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: QPR vs Sheffield Weds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: QPR vs Sheffield Weds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 53% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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QPR vs Sheffield Weds
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: QPR vs Sheffield Weds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: QPR vs Sheffield Weds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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QPR vs Sheffield Weds
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: QPR vs Sheffield Weds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: QPR vs Sheffield Weds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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QPR vs Sheffield Weds
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: QPR vs Sheffield Weds
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: QPR vs Sheffield Weds Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hull vs Watford
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Hull vs Watford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hull vs Watford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hull vs Watford
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Hull vs Watford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hull vs Watford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hull vs Watford
GG: Yes
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Hull vs Watford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hull vs Watford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hull vs Watford
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Hull vs Watford
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hull vs Watford Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bristol City vs Preston
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Bristol City vs Preston
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bristol City vs Preston Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bristol City vs Preston
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Bristol City vs Preston
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bristol City vs Preston Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bristol City vs Preston
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Bristol City vs Preston
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bristol City vs Preston Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Bristol City vs Preston
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Bristol City vs Preston
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Bristol City vs Preston Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Norwich vs Stoke
1X2: H
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Norwich vs Stoke
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Norwich vs Stoke Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Norwich vs Stoke
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Norwich vs Stoke
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Norwich vs Stoke Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Norwich vs Stoke
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Norwich vs Stoke
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Norwich vs Stoke Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Norwich vs Stoke
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Norwich vs Stoke
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Norwich vs Stoke Country/League: ENG Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Real Madrid vs Betis
1X2: H
Confidence: 56%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Real Madrid vs Betis
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Real Madrid vs Betis Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 56% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Real Madrid vs Betis
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Real Madrid vs Betis
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Real Madrid vs Betis Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Real Madrid vs Betis
GG: Yes
Confidence: 35%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Real Madrid vs Betis
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Real Madrid vs Betis Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 35% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Real Madrid vs Betis
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Real Madrid vs Betis
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Real Madrid vs Betis Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sevilla vs Levante
1X2: H
Confidence: 51%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sevilla vs Levante
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sevilla vs Levante Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 51% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sevilla vs Levante
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sevilla vs Levante
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sevilla vs Levante Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sevilla vs Levante
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sevilla vs Levante
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sevilla vs Levante Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sevilla vs Levante
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sevilla vs Levante
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sevilla vs Levante Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
1X2: A
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
GG: Yes
Confidence: 37%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 37% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Depor vs Cadiz
1X2: H
Confidence: 45%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Depor vs Cadiz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Depor vs Cadiz Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 45% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Depor vs Cadiz
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Depor vs Cadiz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Depor vs Cadiz Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Depor vs Cadiz
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Depor vs Cadiz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Depor vs Cadiz Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Depor vs Cadiz
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Depor vs Cadiz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Depor vs Cadiz Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sociedad vs Atletico
1X2: A
Confidence: 54%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sociedad vs Atletico
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sociedad vs Atletico Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 54% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sociedad vs Atletico
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sociedad vs Atletico
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sociedad vs Atletico Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sociedad vs Atletico
GG: Yes
Confidence: 36%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sociedad vs Atletico
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sociedad vs Atletico Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 36% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Sociedad vs Atletico
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Sociedad vs Atletico
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Sociedad vs Atletico Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Gijon vs Malaga
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Gijon vs Malaga
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Gijon vs Malaga Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Gijon vs Malaga
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Gijon vs Malaga
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Gijon vs Malaga Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Gijon vs Malaga
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Gijon vs Malaga
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Gijon vs Malaga Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Gijon vs Malaga
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Gijon vs Malaga
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Gijon vs Malaga Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alaves vs Oviedo
1X2: H
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alaves vs Oviedo
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alaves vs Oviedo Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alaves vs Oviedo
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alaves vs Oviedo
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alaves vs Oviedo Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alaves vs Oviedo
GG: Yes
Confidence: 34%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alaves vs Oviedo
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alaves vs Oviedo Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 34% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alaves vs Oviedo
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alaves vs Oviedo
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alaves vs Oviedo Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Mallorca vs Girona
1X2: H
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Mallorca vs Girona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Mallorca vs Girona Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Mallorca vs Girona
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Mallorca vs Girona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Mallorca vs Girona Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Mallorca vs Girona
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Mallorca vs Girona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Mallorca vs Girona Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Mallorca vs Girona
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Mallorca vs Girona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Mallorca vs Girona Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Ceuta vs Andorra CF
1X2: H
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Ceuta vs Andorra CF
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Ceuta vs Andorra CF Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Ceuta vs Andorra CF
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Ceuta vs Andorra CF
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Ceuta vs Andorra CF Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Ceuta vs Andorra CF
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Ceuta vs Andorra CF
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Ceuta vs Andorra CF Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Ceuta vs Andorra CF
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Ceuta vs Andorra CF
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Ceuta vs Andorra CF Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Albacete vs Leganes
1X2: H
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Albacete vs Leganes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Albacete vs Leganes Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Albacete vs Leganes
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Albacete vs Leganes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Albacete vs Leganes Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Albacete vs Leganes
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Albacete vs Leganes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Albacete vs Leganes Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Albacete vs Leganes
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ESP | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Albacete vs Leganes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Albacete vs Leganes Country/League: ESP Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Marseille vs Nantes
1X2: H
Confidence: 62%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Marseille vs Nantes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Marseille vs Nantes Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 62% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Marseille vs Nantes
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Marseille vs Nantes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Marseille vs Nantes Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Marseille vs Nantes
GG: Yes
Confidence: 31%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Marseille vs Nantes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Marseille vs Nantes Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 31% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Marseille vs Nantes
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Marseille vs Nantes
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Marseille vs Nantes Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Le Havre vs Angers
1X2: H
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Le Havre vs Angers
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Le Havre vs Angers Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Le Havre vs Angers
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Le Havre vs Angers
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Le Havre vs Angers Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Le Havre vs Angers
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Le Havre vs Angers
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Le Havre vs Angers Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Le Havre vs Angers
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Le Havre vs Angers
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Le Havre vs Angers Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Paris SG vs Paris FC
1X2: H
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Paris SG vs Paris FC
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Paris SG vs Paris FC Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Paris SG vs Paris FC
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Paris SG vs Paris FC
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Paris SG vs Paris FC Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Paris SG vs Paris FC
GG: No
Confidence: 84%
Reason: One team likely fails to score
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Paris SG vs Paris FC
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Paris SG vs Paris FC Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → No Confidence: 84% Reasoning summary: One team likely fails to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Paris SG vs Paris FC
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Paris SG vs Paris FC
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Paris SG vs Paris FC Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brest vs Auxerre
1X2: H
Confidence: 52%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Brest vs Auxerre
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brest vs Auxerre Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 52% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brest vs Auxerre
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Brest vs Auxerre
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brest vs Auxerre Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brest vs Auxerre
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Brest vs Auxerre
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brest vs Auxerre Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Brest vs Auxerre
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Brest vs Auxerre
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Brest vs Auxerre Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lorient vs Metz
1X2: H
Confidence: 51%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lorient vs Metz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lorient vs Metz Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 51% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lorient vs Metz
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lorient vs Metz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lorient vs Metz Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lorient vs Metz
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lorient vs Metz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lorient vs Metz Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lorient vs Metz
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
FRA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lorient vs Metz
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lorient vs Metz Country/League: FRA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
GG: Yes
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
1X2: A
Confidence: 57%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 57% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
GG: Yes
Confidence: 36%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 36% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ISR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar Country/League: ISR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Napoli
1X2: A
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Napoli
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Napoli Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Napoli
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Napoli
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Napoli Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Napoli
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Napoli
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Napoli Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Lazio vs Napoli
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Lazio vs Napoli
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Lazio vs Napoli Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fiorentina vs Cremonese
1X2: H
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fiorentina vs Cremonese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fiorentina vs Cremonese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fiorentina vs Cremonese
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fiorentina vs Cremonese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fiorentina vs Cremonese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fiorentina vs Cremonese
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fiorentina vs Cremonese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fiorentina vs Cremonese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Fiorentina vs Cremonese
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Fiorentina vs Cremonese
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Fiorentina vs Cremonese Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Inter vs Bologna
1X2: H
Confidence: 57%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Inter vs Bologna
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Inter vs Bologna Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 57% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Inter vs Bologna
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Inter vs Bologna
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Inter vs Bologna Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Inter vs Bologna
GG: Yes
Confidence: 34%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Inter vs Bologna
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Inter vs Bologna Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 34% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Inter vs Bologna
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Inter vs Bologna
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Inter vs Bologna Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Verona vs Torino
1X2: A
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Verona vs Torino
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Verona vs Torino Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Verona vs Torino
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Verona vs Torino
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Verona vs Torino Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Verona vs Torino
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Verona vs Torino
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Verona vs Torino Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Verona vs Torino
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ITA | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Verona vs Torino
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Verona vs Torino Country/League: ITA Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
1X2: H
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
GG: Yes
Confidence: 41%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 41% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alverca vs Famalicao
1X2: A
Confidence: 48%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alverca vs Famalicao
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alverca vs Famalicao Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 48% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alverca vs Famalicao
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alverca vs Famalicao
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alverca vs Famalicao Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alverca vs Famalicao
GG: Yes
Confidence: 38%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alverca vs Famalicao
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alverca vs Famalicao Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 38% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Alverca vs Famalicao
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Alverca vs Famalicao
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Alverca vs Famalicao Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Santa Clara vs Porto
1X2: A
Confidence: 58%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Santa Clara vs Porto
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Santa Clara vs Porto Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 58% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Santa Clara vs Porto
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Santa Clara vs Porto
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Santa Clara vs Porto Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Santa Clara vs Porto
GG: Yes
Confidence: 29%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Santa Clara vs Porto
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Santa Clara vs Porto Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 29% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Santa Clara vs Porto
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
POR | 2026-01-04
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AI Prompt: Santa Clara vs Porto
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Santa Clara vs Porto Country/League: POR Date: 2026-01-04 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth
1X2: H
Confidence: 53%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Chelsea vs Bournemouth Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 53% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Chelsea vs Bournemouth Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Chelsea vs Bournemouth Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Chelsea vs Bournemouth Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man United vs Wolves
1X2: H
Confidence: 60%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Man United vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man United vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 60% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man United vs Wolves
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Man United vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man United vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man United vs Wolves
GG: Yes
Confidence: 34%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Man United vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man United vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 34% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Man United vs Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Man United vs Wolves
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Man United vs Wolves Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa
1X2: H
Confidence: 54%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Arsenal vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Arsenal vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 54% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Arsenal vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Arsenal vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa
GG: Yes
Confidence: 35%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Arsenal vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Arsenal vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 35% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Arsenal vs Aston Villa
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Arsenal vs Aston Villa Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Brighton
1X2: A
Confidence: 45%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 45% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Brighton
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Brighton
GG: Yes
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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West Ham vs Brighton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: West Ham vs Brighton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: West Ham vs Brighton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Forest vs Everton
1X2: H
Confidence: 45%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Forest vs Everton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Forest vs Everton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 45% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Forest vs Everton
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Forest vs Everton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Forest vs Everton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Forest vs Everton
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Forest vs Everton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Forest vs Everton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Forest vs Everton
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Forest vs Everton
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Forest vs Everton Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Newcastle
1X2: A
Confidence: 49%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Newcastle
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Newcastle Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 49% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Newcastle
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Newcastle
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Newcastle Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Newcastle
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Newcastle
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Newcastle Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Burnley vs Newcastle
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ENG | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Burnley vs Newcastle
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Burnley vs Newcastle Country/League: ENG Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
1X2: H
Confidence: 61%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 61% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
GG: Yes
Confidence: 33%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 33% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
1X2: H
Confidence: 45%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 45% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
GG: Yes
Confidence: 42%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 42% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
1X2: H
Confidence: 43%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 43% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
ISR | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona Country/League: ISR Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs St Mirren
1X2: H
Confidence: 59%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 59% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs St Mirren
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs St Mirren
GG: Yes
Confidence: 33%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 33% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Rangers vs St Mirren
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Rangers vs St Mirren
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Rangers vs St Mirren Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hibernian vs Aberdeen
1X2: H
Confidence: 52%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hibernian vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 52% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hibernian vs Aberdeen
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hibernian vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hibernian vs Aberdeen
GG: Yes
Confidence: 39%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hibernian vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 39% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Hibernian vs Aberdeen
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Hibernian vs Aberdeen Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock
1X2: H
Confidence: 46%
Reason: Home win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Dundee vs Kilmarnock
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Dundee vs Kilmarnock Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → H Confidence: 46% Reasoning summary: Home win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock
Double Chance: 1X
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Home favored, safe with 1X
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Dundee vs Kilmarnock
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Dundee vs Kilmarnock Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → 1X Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Home favored, safe with 1X Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock
GG: Yes
Confidence: 44%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Dundee vs Kilmarnock
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Dundee vs Kilmarnock Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 44% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Confidence: 80%
Reason: High expected goals
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Dundee vs Kilmarnock
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Dundee vs Kilmarnock Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Over Confidence: 80% Reasoning summary: High expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs Dundee United
1X2: A
Confidence: 47%
Reason: Away win favored by Elo & GD
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs Dundee United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs Dundee United Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: 1X2 → A Confidence: 47% Reasoning summary: Away win favored by Elo & GD Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs Dundee United
Double Chance: X2
Confidence: 85%
Reason: Away favored, safe with X2
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs Dundee United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs Dundee United Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Double Chance → X2 Confidence: 85% Reasoning summary: Away favored, safe with X2 Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs Dundee United
GG: Yes
Confidence: 40%
Reason: Both teams likely to score
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs Dundee United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs Dundee United Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: GG → Yes Confidence: 40% Reasoning summary: Both teams likely to score Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Livingston vs Dundee United
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Confidence: 70%
Reason: Low expected goals
SCO | 2025-12-30
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AI Prompt: Livingston vs Dundee United
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You are an expert football prediction assistant. Analyze the following match and produce accurate, well-structured markets combining Elo ratings and robust predictive signals. Match: Livingston vs Dundee United Country/League: SCO Date: 2025-12-30 My system's tip: Over/Under 2.5 → Under Confidence: 70% Reasoning summary: Low expected goals Tasks: 1) Provide calibrated probabilities for 1X2 (Home win, Draw, Away win). Show each percentage clearly and sum to ~100%. 2) Over/Under goals: Give probabilities for Over 0.5/1.5/2.5/3.5 and Under 2.5/3.5 with short reasoning. 3) Both Teams To Score (GG/NG): Give probabilities for GG (Yes) and NG (No), explain drivers (attack/defense form, pace, xG-style signals if applicable). 4) Double Chance: 1X, 12, X2 probabilities and a quick comment on safety vs value. 5) Home or Away To Score: Probabilities for Home to score (Yes/No) and Away to score (Yes/No). 6) Final consolidated recommendations: list 2–3 strongest picks with confidence bands (High ≥75%, Medium 60–74%, Cautious <60%). Avoid overfitting; prefer consistent edges. Method: - Use Elo-style logic conceptually: estimate base win probs via rating differentials and adjust for venue, schedule congestion, typical league scoring. - Balance with recent form signal and typical goal distribution for the league. - Be concise, numeric, and practical. Output in clean bullet points. No code blocks. Then briefly compare your view to my tip above and note agreement or differences.
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Matches
Chelsea vs Bournemouth (ENG)
Man United vs Wolves (ENG)
Arsenal vs Aston Villa (ENG)
West Ham vs Brighton (ENG)
Forest vs Everton (ENG)
Burnley vs Newcastle (ENG)
M Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias (ISR)
Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhinin (ISR)
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Kiryat Shmona (ISR)
Rangers vs St Mirren (SCO)
Hibernian vs Aberdeen (SCO)
Dundee vs Kilmarnock (SCO)
Livingston vs Dundee United (SCO)
Aston Villa vs Forest (ENG)
Wolves vs West Ham (ENG)
Brighton vs Burnley (ENG)
Bournemouth vs Arsenal (ENG)
Celta vs Valencia (ESP)
Espanyol vs Barcelona (ESP)
Castellon vs Huesca (ESP)
Valladolid vs Santander (ESP)
Osasuna vs Bilbao (ESP)
Leonesa vs Sociedad B (ESP)
Elche vs Villarreal (ESP)
Cordoba vs Burgos (ESP)
Almeria vs Granada (ESP)
Reims vs Annecy (FRA)
Lille vs Rennes (FRA)
Nice vs Strasbourg (FRA)
Monaco vs Lyon (FRA)
Troyes vs Red Star (FRA)
Bastia vs Grenoble (FRA)
Le Mans vs Saint-Etienne (FRA)
Amiens vs Nancy (FRA)
Guingamp vs Boulogne (FRA)
Clermont vs Laval (FRA)
Pau vs Rodez (FRA)
H Petach Tikva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina (ISR)
Hapoel Jerusalem vs M Tel Aviv (ISR)
Bnei Sakhinin vs Beer-Sheva (ISR)
Ironi Tiberias vs Netanya (ISR)
Atalanta vs Roma (ITA)
Juventus vs Lecce (ITA)
Genoa vs Pisa (ITA)
Como vs Udinese (ITA)
Sassuolo vs Parma (ITA)
Benfica vs Estoril (POR)
Estrela Amadora vs Braga (POR)
Tondela vs Arouca (POR)
AVS Futebol vs Moreirense (POR)
Falkirk vs Aberdeen (SCO)
Hearts vs Livingston (SCO)
Celtic vs Rangers (SCO)
Motherwell vs St Mirren (SCO)
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian (SCO)
Dundee United vs Dundee (SCO)
Middlesbrough vs Southampton (ENG)
Everton vs Brentford (ENG)
Portsmouth vs Ipswich (ENG)
Blackburn vs Charlton (ENG)
Leeds vs Man United (ENG)
Sheffield United vs Oxford (ENG)
Derby vs Wrexham (ENG)
Millwall vs Swansea (ENG)
Fulham vs Liverpool (ENG)
Birmingham vs Coventry (ENG)
Man City vs Chelsea (ENG)
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace (ENG)
Tottenham vs Sunderland (ENG)
QPR vs Sheffield Weds (ENG)
Hull vs Watford (ENG)
Bristol City vs Preston (ENG)
Norwich vs Stoke (ENG)
Real Madrid vs Betis (ESP)
Sevilla vs Levante (ESP)
Zaragoza vs Las Palmas (ESP)
Depor vs Cadiz (ESP)
Sociedad vs Atletico (ESP)
Gijon vs Malaga (ESP)
Alaves vs Oviedo (ESP)
Mallorca vs Girona (ESP)
Ceuta vs Andorra CF (ESP)
Albacete vs Leganes (ESP)
Marseille vs Nantes (FRA)
Le Havre vs Angers (FRA)
Paris SG vs Paris FC (FRA)
Brest vs Auxerre (FRA)
Lorient vs Metz (FRA)
H Tel Aviv vs Ashdod (ISR)
Kiryat Shmona vs Beitar (ISR)
Lazio vs Napoli (ITA)
Fiorentina vs Cremonese (ITA)
Inter vs Bologna (ITA)
Verona vs Torino (ITA)
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia (POR)
Alverca vs Famalicao (POR)
Santa Clara vs Porto (POR)
Leicester vs West Brom (ENG)
Montpellier vs Dunkerque (FRA)
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa (ISR)
West Ham vs Forest (ENG)
Pisa vs Como (ITA)
Lecce vs Roma (ITA)
Sassuolo vs Juventus (ITA)
Rangers vs Aberdeen (SCO)
Livingston vs St Mirren (SCO)
Everton vs Wolves (ENG)
Brentford vs Sunderland (ENG)
Fulham vs Chelsea (ENG)
Man City vs Brighton (ENG)
Newcastle vs Leeds (ENG)
Burnley vs Man United (ENG)
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa (ENG)
Bournemouth vs Tottenham (ENG)
Lazio vs Fiorentina (ITA)
Bologna vs Atalanta (ITA)
Napoli vs Verona (ITA)
Torino vs Udinese (ITA)
Parma vs Inter (ITA)
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